I predict Paul Cisek will be seen as the “Einstein” of behavioral theory. His findings contradict all of our cultural-cognitive and current academic myths and models, so the findings are pretty much ignored. He is also in Montreal so well outside of the industrial-neuroeconomics complex. Lucky for him! More to come….much more…
I will be working on polishing this post and many posts and articles from it……grrrrrrr
Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B 369: 20130479. Primary author: Paul Cisek e-mail: firstname.lastname@example.org
Neurophysiological studies of decision-making have focused primarily on elucidating the mechanisms of classic economic decisions, for which the relevant variables are the values of expected outcomes and action is simply the means of reporting the selected choice.
By contrast, here we focus on the particular challenges of embodied decision-making faced by animals interacting with their environment in real time. In such scenarios, the choices themselves as well as their relative costs and benefits are defined by the momentary geometry of the immediate environment and change continuously during ongoing activity. To deal with the demands of embodied activity, animals require an architecture in which the sensorimotor specification of potential actions, their valuation, selection and even execution can all take place in parallel.
Here, we review behavioural and neurophysiological data supporting a proposed brain architecture for dealing with such scenarios, which we argue set the evolutionary foundation for the organization of the mammalian brain.
Studies of human behaviour have historically been distributed across very diverse disciplines…All that has changed in recent decades, and in almost all aspects of the behavioural sciences, there is now a trend to bring disciplines together and to build theories that at once address the phenomena in question at all three levels of analysis. While this is certainly a step in the right direction, marrying long estranged fields is a precarious business. Some caution must be taken in choosing which conceptual components are most valuable for guiding the fields towards a unified direction that is a fruitful one, rather than merely entrenching them all towards the same limiting assumptions.
Here, we take a cautionary look at the recent convergence of studies in behavioural economics and the neuroscience of decision-making, a field often called neuroeconomics. As a new field, it is in great flux and difficult to characterize with a consistent set of agreed-upon axioms. Nevertheless, certain themes are repeatedly emphasized and at least lead to convergence on the questions that are being asked.
At the computational level, one persistent question inspired by economic theories is the degree to which human (and animal) behaviour is rational. For example, it is obviously irrational (a violation of ‘transitivity’) to prefer A to B and B to C, but then choose C over A.
- VonNeumann & Morgenstern formalized the concept of expected utility to describe how humans should make choices under conditions of risk, allowing for nonlinear relationships between objective quantities (amount of money) and their subjective utility to a decision-making agent.
- However, Simon famously showed that humans do not behave in accordance with prescriptive economic theory, that they exhibit ‘bounded rationality’.
- This was echoed even more strongly by Kahneman & Tversky’s seminal work on the heuristics and biases that drive human choices away from what is expected of purely rational thinking. While to some, the use of heuristics reveals flaws in human reasoning, others argue that heuristics actually do better than prescriptive statistical methods in real-world scenarios in which sample sizes are too small to ever usefully estimate the necessary probability distributions.
At the algorithmic level, a critical question concerns the representations and mechanisms that determine decisions:
- A classic model suggests that when presented with a choice, people compute the subjective utility of each option using a ‘common currency’ that integrates payoffs, costs, risks and any relevant variable.
- The option with the highest value is selected as the goal, which is then ultimately transformed into an action plan.
- We may refer to the processes of calculating values (which may be prolonged in complex situations) as ‘deliberation’, and the process of goal selection as ‘commitment’.
- According to classic psychological theories, both of these processes take place within a central executive system that presumably resides in the frontal lobes and is separate from sensorimotor control.
- Recent studies seek to connect these principles to the level of neural implementation.
For example, neural activity in the orbitofrontal cortex (OFC) and ventromedial prefrontal cortex behaves very much like an abstract representation of economic value.
In particular, activity in the OFC correlates with the value of an option independent of other options and adjusts its gain to reflect the full range of values presented in a given block of trials. The transformation of the chosen goal to a plan of action may take place in lateral prefrontal cortex, which projects to the premotor and motor regions that control movement. Even departures from prescriptive economic theories can be studied using neuroscientific methods, which may explain differences of behaviour between individuals. For example,….the idiosyncratic distortions of probability estimates of individual subjects are correlated with activity patterns in the dorsolateral prefrontal cortex. Likewise, individual subjective policies of temporal discounting can be correlated with individual patterns of activity in ventral striatum, medial prefrontal cortex and posterior cingulate cortex. In summary, questions posed by economic theory can be addressed with neuroscience, and some have argued that economic theory itself should be increasingly based on neuroscientific data.
2. Beyond Economics
Despite the undeniable attraction of economic formalisms for interpreting neural data, all formalisms have a limited domain of applicability whose edges are important to acknowledge. Economic theory is no exception, and here we focus on three of its limitations.
First, it has long been recognized that the most quantifiable formalisms of economic theory are designed to deal with only the most circumscribed situations, raising questions about their ‘external validity’ to the real world. For example:
- to quantify utility in the VonNeumann and Morgenstern sense, one needs to know the probabilities associated with the payoffs of different choices.
- Such probabilities may be known when presented with explicit gambles—what Savage called ‘small worlds’—but that is rarely the case in the real world.
- Real choices are almost always made in ‘largeworld’ situations, where the number of samples is much too low to capture the variance along all of the potentially relevant dimensions.
- Statistical methods, Bayesian or otherwise, do not function well in such scenarios because their assumptions cannot be met, and simple heuristics often produce superior performance.
Thus, normative economic theories do not apply to all economic choice behaviour, and savvy marketers and advertisers often ignore them in practice.
Second, many theories of economic choice (particularly those currently studied in neuroscience) are aimed at the problem of how we decide between simultaneously presented offers, such as between two brands of peanut butter in a supermarket. In natural behaviour, however, simultaneously offered goods are relatively rare. nMuch more common are ‘sequential’ choices between either taking an opportunity that is encountered versus looking for other opportunities that might (or might not) be encountered within the current environment. Because of this, the reinforced value of given options is strongly dependent on context—finding a small fruit during the dry season is more subjectively rewarding than finding a large fruit during times of plenty. Because animals presumably evolved to deal with the more common sequential choice scenarios, their learning mechanisms exploit the particularities of such situations. Consequently, when faced with the rare occurrence of a simultaneous choice, animals often make what appear as objectively irrational choices (i.e. choose the smaller fruit).
An extensive series of studies has shown that this is precisely the case, even when the offer value is unambiguously defined using temporal discounting. Such apparently irrational behaviour is also exhibited by humans. A classic example is the phenomenon of preference reversals:
- when humans are simultaneously presented with two gambles with similar expected values (e.g. 90% chance of winning $8 versus 50% chance of winning $16),
- they tend to prefer the one with a higher probability of payoff (e.g. the former).
- However, if the same gambles are presented sequentially and subjects are asked to assign to them a monetary value, they tend to put a higher price on the one they had previously rejected (e.g. the latter). This may occur because of inference errors about probability, overpricing of low-probability high-payoff bets or because in both situations the subjects use completely different heuristics that are not congruent.
The above examples reveal well-known limitations of prescriptive economic theory as a general formalism for understanding all decision-making behaviour. Here, however, we wish to focus on a third limitation, which to our knowledge has not been widely acknowledged in neuroscience, and yet which may be the most relevant to linking behaviour with the functional neural architecture that implements.
3. The Challenges of Embodied Decisions
The brain is a product of evolution, which rests on two fundamental principles: natural selection; and descent with modification.
The first of these is widely acknowledged in economic theory, motivating the search for mechanisms that confer a selective advantage. The second principle, however, is even more valuable for developments of theories that span across levels of analysis. This is because evolution is remarkably conservative, powerfully constrained by phylogenetic history.
Evolution can only work with an existing ancestral system, and only make modifications that maintain the system’s integrity. In the language of optimization theory, it does not perform an exhaustive search but is highly myopic and constrained to local regions whose basins may be separated from other classes of solutions by impassable crevasses. Major evolutionary change is primarily driven by changes in the environment, not by sudden creative leaps in the genome. The consequences of phylogenetic constraints cannot be overemphasized.
Contrary to persisting opinions among many psychologists and economists, brain evolution is not characterized by the addition of new structures or modules. The idea that the brain proceeds by superimposing a ‘mammalian’ cerebral cortex over a neopallium and ‘reptilian’ midbrain has long ago been rejected by studies of comparative neuroanatomy. Evolution cannot simply invent a new structure, complete with a full developmental schedule, and connect it up to an existing system.
Instead, brain evolution involves the elaboration and specialization of existing structures and elongation of ancestral circuits whose neuroanatomical topology is remarkably conserved.
For example, circuits interconnecting the striatum, pallidum and cerebral cortex/neopallium are effectively the same in both mammals and birds, despite the fact that their respective lineages diverged about 310 million years ago (Ma). Indeed, such major features of the human telencephalon are shared with teleost fishes, which diverged from the lineage leading to humans about 450 Ma. Because the neuroanatomical organization of these circuits was laid down so long ago, we obviously should not attempt to explain their functional roles from a perspective that focuses exclusively on human cognitive behaviour. Instead, we should first consider the kinds of behavioural challenges that were faced by our distant ancestors. This even pertains to the cerebral cortex, which is by no means a mammalian invention but a structure homologous to the dorsal pallium that is shared among nearly all terrestrial tetrapods.
Thus, even when we address the mechanisms of more modern cognitive functions, we can benefit by considering them as elaborations of ancient behavioural abilities. For example – as the mammalian brain evolved, the architecture of simple decisions may have been recapitulated towards progressively more anterior cortico-striatal circuits that serve progressively more abstract decision-making behaviour. Acknowledging and addressing the phylogenetic constraints of any evolved system may appear as a burden for theorists, another challenge to what is already a challenging field of study. We are of precisely the opposite opinion. What theoretical neuroscience needs most are more constraints, not fewer, for they provide guidelines for effectively choosing which conceptual path is most promising. Even the most elegant and optimal theory is a dead-end if it is incompatible with the constraints of phylogenetic descent.
By contrast, the outline of an evolutionarily grounded theory is a promising topic for further study. Furthermore, we believe that an evolutionary perspective also helps us choose what kinds of questions to ask, and which to ask first.
With respect to decision-making, the evolutionary perspective motivates us to build theories of decision-making that are fundamentally aimed at addressing the challenges of the kinds of decisions faced by our very distant ancestors, whose behaviour was primarily interactive and not deliberative. Here, we will take this approach and focus on what may be called ‘embodied decisions’—decisions between actions during ongoing activity. For example, an animal escaping from a predator is continuously making decisions about the direction to run, ways of avoiding obstacles, and even foot placement on uneven terrain. Of course, humans also engage in such embodied decision-making during our daily lives, whether we are walking through a crowd or playing a sport. Importantly, embodied decisions have properties that are dramatically different from the economic choices that have dominated decision theories.
- First, the options themselves are potential action opportunities that are directly specified by the environment — called ‘affordances’. The variables relevant to evaluating these options are overwhelmed by geometric and biomechanical contingencies and not merely related to offer values. Consequently, evaluation of the sensorimotor contingencies becomes the major challenge for the neural mechanism, whereas pure offer value estimation is computationally relatively trivial.
- Second, the options themselves are not categorical, like button presses in a psychology experiment. Instead, they are specified by spatio-temporal information, highly dependent on geometry, and even their identity is extended and blurry at the edges.
- Third, embodied decisions are perhaps the primary and archetypical kind of simultaneous decision. Animals encounter goods sequentially, but they are always surrounded by simultaneous action opportunities between which they must select.
Finally, embodied decisions are highly dynamic. As an animal moves through its world, available actions themselves are constantly changing, some are vanishing while others appear, and all the relevant variables (outcome values, success probability, action cost) are always in flux. This precludes any mechanism relying on careful deliberation about static quantities or estimation of probabilities from similar examples, because each embodied decision is a single-trial situation with unique settings.
Consequently, the mechanisms that serve embodied decisions must process sensory information rapidly and continuously, specifying and re-specifying available actions in parallel while at the same time evaluating the options and deciding whether to persist in a given activity or switch to a new one. Thus, the temporal distinction between thinking about the choice and then implementing the response, so central to economic theory and laboratory experiments on decisions, simply does not apply to decisions made during interactive behaviour.
Consider the very simple example …
- At the beginning (point a) environmental constraints present the mouse with a distribution of potential running directions that may be averaged into a single central forward path.
- As the mouse runs forward the obstacle in front begins to be relevant, but the choice between turning left versus right is not yet necessary and the distribution of potential directions can still be averaged into the forward path.
- As that obstacle is approached, however (point c), the forward path becomes increasingly undesirable, splitting the distribution of potential directions into two distinct choices, between which a decision must now be made.
Note that in this scenario the processes of specifying potential actions and selecting between them have to take place in parallel during overt activity. While complete preplanning of running trajectories may seem acceptable in some situations, it will fail if the obstacles themselves can move unpredictably. A formal description of such dynamic situations is difficult, but we believe it is both possible and necessary if we are to understand decision-making in the context within which it evolved. Some progress towards a description of embodied decision-making has been made in ecological psychology, in which decisions are seen as emerging within the dynamical system describing an agent’s interaction with the world. In this view:
- the environment at a given moment defines a potential field through which the state of the agent may flow.
- Goals are attractors towards which the state tends to move and decision points are the ridges between the basins of attraction defined by different goals (mathematically,
- decisions are made on the unstable manifolds between different stable attractors of a dynamical system).
Importantly, however, the flow field is not static but changes continuously as the agent moves and as the world changes around him/her. Considering again the dynamical system still contains a single attractor but as the mouse moves forward a bifurcation occurs and the new dynamical system contains two regions of attraction between which a decision must be made. Analysis of behaviour in sports shows that it exhibits properties characteristic of this kind of dynamical description. While such work provides a formal language for describing embodied decision-making situations, it does not propose hypothetical mechanisms for how the brain may deal with them.
What we desire is a theory that spans analysis levels from descriptions of the problem all the way to neural data on the mechanisms involved in implementing the solutions. However, to date, most neurophysiological studies of the neural mechanisms of decisions use economic concepts, not dynamical system concepts, to define the experimental paradigm and interpret the data. Consequently, they do not even address the kinds of embodied decisions that, we would argue, defined the challenges faced by the vertebrate nervous system at the time, many millions of years ago, when its basic functional architecture was being established.
We have recently proposed that a great deal of neurophysiological data is in fact more naturally interpretable from an ecological and embodied perspective than from traditional cognitive perspectives. In particular, the traditional distinctions between separate systems for perceiving the world, storing and retrieving memories, thinking about an abstract goal, and acting upon it do not find strong support in neurophysiological and neuroanatomical data. Instead, more conducive to making sense of neural data may be a distinction between processes related to specifying potential opportunities for interaction with the world versus processes related to selecting between these. Here, we briefly review this proposal before describing some recent experiments relevant to its predictions and implications.
4. A Mechanism for Embodied Behaviour
The ‘affordance competition hypothesis’ suggests that:
- during interactive behaviour, the brain is continuously processing sensory information
- to specify a set of potential actions (affordances) currently available in the world,
- while at the same time collecting information to help select between these.
[Below is an outline of the author’s model. BMM]
For visually guided action:
- the specification takes place along the occipito-parietal ‘dorsal’ visual stream
- while selection uses information from the occipitotemporal ‘ventral’ stream and its projections through the lateral prefrontal cortex.
- From a computational perspective, action specification involves reciprocally interconnected sensorimotor maps in parietal and frontal cortex,
- each of which represents potential actions as peaks of activity in tuned neural populations and obstacles as valleys.
- Within such maps, distinct potential actions compete against each other through mutual inhibition,
- through direct cortico-cortical connections or competing cortico-striatal loops,
- until one potential action suppresses the others and the decision is made.
This distributed competition is continuously influenced by a variety of biasing inputs, including rule-based inputs from prefrontal regions, reward predictions from basal ganglia or any variable pertinent to making a choice. While these diverse biases may contribute their ‘votes’ to different loci along the distributed fronto-parietal sensorimotor competition, their effects are shared across the network owing to its reciprocal connectivity. Consequently, the decision is not determined by any single central “executive,” but simply depends upon which regions are the first to commit to a given action strongly enough to pull the rest of the system into a ‘distributed consensus. Simultaneous recordings across the cerebral cortex suggest that during simple decisions, such a consensus is reached in a diversity of brain regions at approximately 150 ms.
A role of cortical regions in action selection does not imply that subcortical regions are not also involved. In particular, there is ample evidence that the basal ganglia play a significant role in action selection. One possibility is that the basal ganglia played a major role in action selection in early vertebrates, which did not have an elaborate cortex, but over time the cortical part of the cortico-striatal system grew in complexity and took on a larger role in selection.
- A large topologically organized structure such as the cerebral cortex is particularly well-suited to performing selection between spatially distinct potential actions within a single effector system (e.g. selecting between reaching to different objects),
- while a centralized ‘hub’ like the basal ganglia may be most involved in selecting between different types of action (e.g. selecting whether to reach or to run, or to do nothing at all).
Such a division of labour may provide a way to reconcile proposals that the basal ganglia are involved in selection with recent experiments showing that inactivation of the main output nuclei does not impair selection, but instead reduces movement vigour. Perhaps disrupting the basal ganglia output to the reaching system did not interfere with a cortical selection of ‘where to reach’, but simply reduced a bias signalling ‘whether to reach’.
Here,we describe some of the empirical predictions made by such parallel frameworks, as well as some recent studies whose results bear upon these predictions.
5. Implications and Predictions of an Embodied Brain Architecture
The affordance competition hypothesis makes a number of testable predictions at the neurophysiological level. For example:
- it predicts that neural activity within the sensorimotor system will not only represent multiple potential actions
- but that these representations will also be modulated by any factor relevant for making the choice.
Decision-related modulation has of course been found throughout frontal and parietal regions of both the oculomotor and arm reaching systems, but the affordance competition hypothesis suggests more specific predictions. In particular, neural activity in the sensorimotor system should be modulated by all factors relevant for the animal’s choice, including offer values, action costs, temporal discounting or anything related to the subjective desirability of an action. Furthermore, neural activity in regions closest to movement initiation should be strictly related to relative desirability. That is, neural activity related to a given potential action should be modulated by the desirability of that option relative to other options, and show no decision related modulation at all when only a single option is present or when all are equally desirable. The reason for this is simple: the neural activity does not itself represent the desirability of options, but merely reflects the competition between options, biased by their desirability, that results in a choice.
Finally, the strength of the competition between options should depend on their geometric relationship. The last point deserves more explanation. The hypothesis that the competition between actions occurs within sensorimotor maps, which reflect the geometry of the environment, predicts that the mutual inhibition between two actions is stronger when they are further apart. The reason for this is straightforward:
- When faced with two families of actions that are similar (e.g. turning by to the right versus to the left, ) the decision can be gradual, only slightly veering towards one option versus another.
- By contrast, when faced with very different response options, a weighted-average solution is not acceptable anymore and an all-or-none decision has to be made.
A simpleway for a neural population to implement this sensorimotor contingency is for the inhibitory interaction between cells to depend on the similarity of the actions to which those cells are tuned. Such an architecture makes the specific prediction that if one records from cells related to a given option while modulating the desirability of a different option, the gain of that modulation will be the strongest when that other option is most dissimilar to the one coded by the recorded cell.
We tested these predictions through neural recording experiments in dorsal premotor cortex (PMd) of monkeys trained to move a cursor to one of two potential targets with different reward values. When allowed a free choice the monkeys nearly always chose the target with a higher value, and we were interested in the patterns of neural activity in PMd prior to the GO signal…To summarize:
- neural activity in PMd was indeed modulated by relative reward values when two targets were presented,
- but these same cells never showed any reward-related modulation in trials with only one target
- This is consistent with a purely relative code (or ‘full divisive normalization’), as predicted by the hypothesis of a recurrent competitive network that is biased by inputs carrying information about absolute values
- Most importantly, the gain of the interaction between targets was the strongestwhen they were furthest apart.
This result is critical, in our opinion, because it specifically supports the hypothesis that embodied decisions are made within the space of a sensorimotor map, as opposed to being made in the space of outcome values. The dependence of neural activity on the spatial separation between targets is not predicted by any theory based on economic principles, because the spatial separation has no bearing whatsoever on the benefits or the costs of either of the respective movements, or on their relative desirability. Receiving three drops of juice is better than receiving two drops to exactly the same extent regardless of the spatial separation between the targets that yield these rewards. Thus, spatial separation does not enter into any economic equation. And yet, the neural activity that appears to determine the choice of the target is strongly influenced by it.
Admittedly, one could modify an economic model so as to incorporate notions of spatial separation between targets and to explain such data, but we believe that would be a post-hoc solution. What we really need from theories are motivated predictions. If the competition between options takes place within a sensorimotor map, then the spatial relationships between the options should have behaviourally relevant effects. In particular, if the two competing actions are similar and their neural representations overlap, then reaction times (RTs) should be slightly shorter and there should be more intermediate movements (especially with the shortest RTs) than when the candidate movements are further apart. Indeed, when we examined trials in which both targets were medium-valued, RTs were slightly but significant shorter when the targets were than when they were apart (273 ms). This difference was small because we used a delay period, but it was nevertheless highly significant. When subjects are free to react right away, much larger effects of target separation can be seen.
…The affordance competition hypothesis suggests that during visuo-motor decisions, the spatial information defining the options is processed along the dorsal visual stream, which is known to be remarkably fast. Thus, if two options suddenly appear, there will a fast feedforward sweep of information that defines their spatial parameters in fronto-parietal cortex. Because competition occurs within each region along this route, spatial interactions between targets should be evident as soon as cells become tuned. By contrast, because selection biases often take longer to compute, especially if they involve arbitrary mappings between stimulus features and reward size, then their influence on fronto-parietal activity should appear significantly later. Of course, such a discrete sequence of events is only expected in the artificial situation of a laboratory experiment. During natural behaviour, spatial information specifying potential actions is constantly provided by the environment along with cues pertaining to their selection, and all of these processes must take place in parallel. This brings us to the second critical property of embodied decisions: their
dynamic nature. As the animal moves around its environment, the available opportunities and demands for action are continuously changing, both in their spatio-temporal properties as well as their potential costs and payoffs.
Consider again the situation faced by the mouse. As it moves along a particular path, the relative cost of turning to the right or left is changing, and depends upon the animal’s own momentum. Obviously, relevant objects in the world are also moving, redefining the options and motivating the re-evaluation of their relative desirability. This dynamic nature of embodied behaviour makes it challenging to study, especially through single-electrode neural recording experiments in which the data from individual trials is extremely noisy. Great progress is being made in developing methods to record activity from a much larger number of neurons as well as methods to analyse that data, raising the possibility that in the future we may be able to conduct studies in which animals are faced with the kinds of dynamic, unique situations for which their nervous systems evolved. To date, however, we must be satisfied with more humble approaches for making sense of the dynamic nature of decisions. Nevertheless, certain issues are clearly critical once we begin to examine decision-making in a dynamic world.
One is the mechanism of how sensory information is treated during the process of deliberation. Most models suggest that sensory information pertinent to a choice is integrated over time until the accumulated information reaches a threshold. This is usually called the ‘drift diffusion’ or ‘bounded accumulation’ model. Originally, it was conceived as a model of the deliberation that takes place within a purely cognitive system, but more recently it has also been suggested as a model of how action decisions are made within the sensorimotor system.
This relatively simple model explains the timing and accuracy of choices as a function of deliberation time and speed-accuracy trade-off conditions, and explains stimulus-dependent buildup of neural activity over time in a wide range of decision tasks. Consequently, drift diffusion is currently one of the most influential models of decision-making. However, if the world can suddenly change, then integration is highly sub-optimal. If you have collected evidence in favour of moving towards a particular goal (e.g. a tasty fruit) but suddenly the world changes (e.g. a threat appears near the fruit), then you should change your mind quickly and not have to ‘integrate away’ the previously collected evidence. Instead, you should always process information quickly, with time-constants appropriate for a given type of situation.
This motivates the hypothesis that:
- during dynamic decision-making the brain does not use a slow integration process to estimate the state of the world
- but instead uses a low-pass filter with a fairly short time-constant (short enough to respond quickly to changes on the relevant timescale,
- while long enough to filter out irrelevant high-frequency fluctuations in sensory input).
- The typical duration of fixations suggests that the time-constant of visual decisions is about 100 ms, predicting that neural estimates of sensory information should equilibrate within about 300 ms after stimulus onset, even in highly noisy tasks.
But then what could be responsible for the neural activity build-up seen in so many decision-making tasks? One possible answer comes from considering that during natural behaviour, what matters most is not the accuracy of choices but the reward rate. Recent work has shown, both numerically and analytically, that to maximize rewards the brain should use a decision criterion that decreases over time within each trial, in a task-dependent manner.
The intuition behind this is simple: if you quickly receive good information for making a decision then you should make the choice right away, but if you are not sure then it may be worthwhile to wait in case new information presents itself. However, if nothing happens and time is running out, you may need to just go with your current best guess. In other words, you should drop your standards over time. Suppose now that we have a decision-making system in which potential actions compete against each other, biased by evidence in favour of each, and a decision is made when one of these gets strong enough to suppress the others. One simple way to implement a decreasing confidence criterion is to add to this system a non-specific ‘urgency’ signal that increases over time. When the urgency is low, only an option with very strong evidence will win the competition. As the urgency grows, however, the tension between the options increases (the basins of attraction become steeper) and a smaller difference in evidence may be sufficient to tip the scales. Several neural experiments have suggested that such an urgency signal exists during decision-making in a number of brain regions, including frontal and parietal cortex. Indeed, it has been proposed that perhaps it is the urgency signal, not evidence accumulation, which may be responsible for the build-up of neural activity seen in most decision-making experiments.
To summarize, in dynamically changing situations the brain is motivated to process sensory information quickly and to combine it with an urgency signal that gradually increases over time. We call this the ‘urgency-gating model’, and some recent experiments in our laboratory set out to test its predictions….during dynamic decision-making the sensory information appears to be processed quickly, with previous history of the state of evidence quickly ‘forgotten’ and updated. This was observed even in a task using noisy motion stimuli. Furthermore, when we calculated the level of evidence available to subjects at the time of decision we found that it decreased as a function of decision duration, consistent with the hypothesis that an urgency signal pushes the system to commit with less and less sensory information as time is passing—i.e. that subjects drop their standards over time. At the neural level, these results were confirmed more explicitly….
These observations are consistent with the ‘continuous flow’ model… whereby the motor system is continuously receiving sensory information pertinent to actions, even long before movement onset. What we found in PMd and M1 appears to reflect the changing competition between potential action plans, playing out close to the edge of motor execution. Importantly, the use of a dynamic decision task allows us to distinguish the process of deliberation from the moment of decision commitment.
This lets us conclude that neural activity in the motor system reflects decision-making processes prior to the moment of commitment and does not simply spill in from higher regions as proposed by serial models. Furthermore, it allows us to examine the neural events that occur at the moment that, we estimate, the subjects commit to their choice. …if we align neural activity to the time of movement onset, we see a striking phenomenon occurring in PMd and M1. Approximately 280 ms before movement onset, the activity of PMd cells tuned to the selected target reaches a level of activity that is remarkably consistent across different trial types both in terms of timing and amplitude. At about the same time, the activity of M1 cells tuned to the unselected target is rapidly suppressed. This is exactly what one would predict from a biased competition taking place within the reciprocally connected PMd–M1 network: a sudden phase transition in the dynamical system that represents potential actions. Shortly after this putative ‘moment of commitment’, M1 cells related to movement production become active and presumably launch the selected action. It should be noted that the activity phenomenon observed in PMd–M1 cannot be simply related to movement execution, because it occurs much too early (280ms is close to the monkeys’ total RTs in a simple instructed task). Furthermore, it is virtually absent in a task in which both the choice of target and the timing of movement are externally instructed.
The results suggest that, consistent with the affordance competition hypothesis and the demands of embodied behaviour, when deciding between actions the brain represents the options within sensorimotor regions. These representations compete against each other through spatially dependent mutual inhibition, biased by a continuous flow of sensory information related to the choice as well as a growing signal related to the urge to act. Furthermore, these results suggest that what determines the choice that is made as well as the timing of commitment is the resolution of this competition within the sensorimotor system. This contradicts the proposal, made on the basis of classical economic theories that all decisions are made within a neural representation of outcome values. Of course, not all decisions are the same. Obviously, nobody would suggest that a banker decides between two investments through a competition between the potential actions of signing on two different dotted lines! Here, we are explicitly talking about real-time, embodied decisions made between concrete action choices, such as choices between two
directions to run from a predator. For such scenarios, it makes good sense that the resolution of competition between choices takes place in a space of actions:
- First, action costs must be taken into account, along with the geometrical relationship between options, and the motor system is best suited to combine these kinds of information.
- Second, the consequences of embodied decisions only begin to play out after an action is initiated, and so it makes good sense to commit to one action or another only in the latest stages of processing.
- Finally, even after the choice is taken and initiated, it makes sense to keep other options represented in case the world changes.
In some trials, the more valuable of two targets disappeared at the time of the GO signal, forcing the monkey to change its mind and reach for the remaining target.
Importantly, the same PMd cells that appear to be involved in the initial choice between actions continue to be involved in changing the monkey’s movement trajectory online. Similar results have been observed during ‘target jump’ experiments and instructed switching tasks, suggesting that neurons in the motor system respond to changes of a target or goal within 150 ms of the relevant visual stimulus. The ability to rapidly respond to changes is of course of great survival value during natural behaviour in a dynamic environment…when obstacles are present, the motor system is somehow primed to resist perturbations that might cause collisions…With a small perturbation, the muscles quickly resisted and brought the trajectory back to its initial path. By contrast, after a large perturbation, such resistance was absent and the limb was allowed to pass around the obstacle to a different target (red), which was an acceptable solution. Most interestingly, with medium-sized perturbations the muscle response was highly state-dependent, sometimes resisting and returning to the straight path, but sometimes ‘giving in’ and going around the obstacle and to a different target. What is critical to emphasize is that these task and state-dependent responses occurred about 45–75 ms after the perturbation.
They were much too fast to allow any kind of re-planning or re-evaluation of decisions made in putatively cognitive regions and could involve only a single pass through the transcortical loop. Interestingly, with large perturbations there were two levels of corrective response evident in the data. In particular, in some trials when the arm was pushed around the obstacle to a new target, the trajectory first transiently returned towards the original central target, as if the motor system selected a new path (around the obstacle) but had not yet selected a new target, and then only later a new target was selected. In summary, …the mere presence of obstacles in the environment sets up the gains of the motor system’s resistance to perturbations in a highly task-dependent manner. It appears that even the shortest transcortical loops are sensitive to the layout of objects in space, and are capable of quickly ‘deciding’ between alternative solutions (e.g. which way to go around an obstacle) and even to decide between different goals.
From a dynamical systems perspective, such rapid online corrections could evolve over a potential flow field in which obstacles define unstable equilibria and decision points emerge as the edges between basins of attraction of desirable potential actions. Indeed, if we consider what human athletes (or wild monkeys) are capable of, then perhaps it should be no surprise that online sensorimotor control is this flexible and sophisticated.
6. Concluding Remarks
In this review, we have argued that attempts to understand decision-making at both behavioural and neurophysiological levels would benefit by addressing the particular challenges of embodied decisions. Motivating this proposal are the assumptions that the brain evolved first and foremost to deal with such challenges, and that the resulting functional architecture has been highly conserved even to the present day.
The affordance competition hypothesis suggests a candidate mechanism for dealing with the challenges of embodied behaviour. It proposes that sensory information is continuously used to specify the parameters of several potential actions in parallel, and these compete against each other under the influence of biases coming from a variety of sources, including the basal ganglia and prefrontal cortex. This differs from classical psychological models in several ways. Most importantly, classical models assume that all processes of deliberation and commitment occur within a prefrontal central executive and their results are then relayed to motor systems. By contrast, we propose that, at least in the case of embodied decisions:
- commitment takes place through a distributed consensus within sensorimotor systems.
- Deliberation involves both the dynamics of the sensorimotor competition as well as the computation of relevant biases in regions traditionally considered ‘cognitive’.
Our hypothesis is quite compatible with recent proposals about activity in these regions. For example, computation of absolute economic value in OFC would clearly be useful for biasing the competition between actions that yield different outcomes. A variety of stages may exist where relevant variables converge to form representations of stimulus value or action value, perhaps in OFC and anterior cingulate cortex, respectively. However, a single ‘common currency’ is not strictly necessary because the biases can ultimately be integrated within the sensorimotor competition itself. A major difference between our hypothesis and classical models is that there is no need for a value-to-action transformation. Information about affordances is always available in sensory input and the dorsal stream and parietofrontal systems are exquisitely good at extracting that information to specify potential actions. There is no need to convert these into abstract representations, make decisions to choose a goal, and then convert that goal back into an action plan.
Instead, what is necessary is a way to map biases such as outcome value onto the (already specified) corresponding actions. While this may involve complex processes such as those ascribed to lateral prefrontal cortex, in many cases the mapping may be solved through very simple strategies. For example, creatures able to move their gaze may use it to direct the processing of both the ventral and dorsal streams to the same spatial locus, allowing ventro-prefrontal mechanisms to simply instruct the dorsal sensorimotor systems to ‘grasp whatever is in the fovea’.
Despite our emphasis on embodied decisions and the mechanisms that meet their particular challenges, we do not argue against the usefulness of studying the neural mechanisms of pure economic choices. Obviously, humans are capable of making decisions that have nothing to do with action, and understanding such abilities is of great scientific and clinical interest. In fact, it is quite possible that the distinction between different kinds of decisions, such as abstract versus embodied decisions, is paralleled by a distinction between different neural structures and circuits that subserve these scenarios. There is a wealth of theoretical work suggesting such distinctions, in psychology as well as economics, and neural data suggest that different kinds of decisions involve different brain regions. Indeed, phylogenetic continuity motivates us to consider how abstract decisions such as economic choice evolved within a system originally adapted for realtime embodied choices, and how the architectures subserving these abilities may be related.
In particular, the concept of affordances can generalize to higher levels of interaction. As long as the world contains reliable causal structure, the brain should be able to discover that structure and learn to detect opportunities for exploiting it. For example, high-level causal structure exists in both social (if I show my teeth, you back off) and economic domains (if I deposit money in a savings account, I can buy a house later), and it is possible that representations of potential high-level choices compete against each other under the influence of high-level biases. Along the primate lineage the expansion of the frontal lobes, together with the corresponding cortico-striatal and cortico-cerebellar systems, may correspond to a differentiation and specialization of the basic architecture of biased competition towards increasingly abstract domains of interaction. Indeed, identifying and understanding the phylogenetic history of this process may be the single most valuable future research direction for understanding the fundamental architecture of human cognition.
In conclusion, our emphasis on embodied behaviour is not incompatible with studies of the neural bases of economic choice. Our goal here is simply to point out what neuroeconomic approaches do not address—the particular challenges of embodied decisions. We believe that addressing these challenges is critical for understanding a brain whose evolution was dominated by the demands of embodied behaviour, and for building theories that span the ecological, behavioural and neural levels.